Saturday 21st April 2018




15:45 Newbury

 Given he was only beaten half a length by the subsequent impressive Lincoln winner on his final start last season, Afaak will be many peoples idea of the winner. But he doesn't look much value at around 6/1 favourite as I write this. Another near the top of the market is Taqdeer, whose disappointing run in the spring mile when favourite is easily excusable on account of the soft ground, with the drying ground in his favour it is easy to see why he is being well supported to make amends. However, it looks as though there will still be soft in the going description come race time, which means I'm willing to chance one at a price. I was quite keen on the chances of Ballard Down in the Lincoln, but he was ultimately unsuited by the draw. His performance at Newmarket last year was so impressive that it has stuck in my mind and with a bit of cut in the ground today, and with the possibility he may come on for his seasonal debut, I'm willing to take the six places SkyBet are paying for a small each-way bet.

Ballard Down 28/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way

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