Monday 28th May 2018


16:10 Redcar

 This decent prize has attracted a top quality field in what looks a cracker of a race, also making it a tricky puzzle to solve. I do think I've found one who looks worth a bet though in Titus. He has an interesting profile, he has only seen the racecourse seven times at the age of four, having beaten the classy Venice Beach on debut back in October 2016. He was severely disappointing on his subsequent starts for Dermot Weld but the problems that yard had last year were well documented. He made the switch to Declan Carroll at the start of this year and looked in need of the run when returning to action in the Spring Mile in March. He then won very well at Wetherby despite racing keenly, with a couple of nice types in behind, Saroog and Alwaysandforver, with the latter easily landing a higher grade contest on her next start by nine lengths (albeit a small field). There was a further eleven lengths back to the fourth on that occasion and he took the step up in class in his stride at York on his next start. Again racing a little freely up with the pace, he did very well to finish third behind a well handicapped winner in a contest which favoured those who were held up. Being by Dansili, it is certainly possible we may not have seen the best of him yet and he looks worth chancing in a contest where a case can probably be made any runner. One particularly interesting opponent is Via Via for James Tate, he has been plying his trade in listed company since an interrupted passage in the Lincoln on his seasonal debut.

Titus 9/1 - 1 Point Win



17:00 Chelmsford

 There are a number of runners coming into this in very good form, Naralsaif bids for the four timer after a progressing nicely at the start of the year and it wouldn't be a shock to see him defy the 9lb rise for his latest success. While the combination of a return to polytrack and the step back up to seven furlongs looks sure to suit Pride Of Angels for the inform Gary Moore yard, although she is 7lb higher than her latest success. One with slightly less attractive form figures takes my fancy though, with the step up to seven furlongs looking like it could be ideal for Kamra. Michael Herrington's charge has fallen to a mark just 1lb higher than when beaten just a neck over six furlongs at Wolverhampton last summer. He was running on strongly in the closing stages that day so it's surprising it has taken this long to take a crack at the seven furlongs but I think there's a good chance it could suit.


Kamra 8/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way



17:55 Windsor

 This is a fairly speculative selection, but worth chancing at the current prices in my opinion. Cuttin' Edge was returning from a mammoth 565 day absence when finishing down the field at Ascot recently and he could be overpriced if he can build on some of the promise he showed as a two year old. He's obviously had some problems, but he beat Stanhope with a fair bit in hand off level weights when they met as two year olds and the selection now gets 13lb from that rival today. There are obviously much more solid contenders in here, but with just the four runs to his name, theres a good chance a mark of 72 could underestimate Cuttin' Edge if he has overcome whatever problems have seen him spend so much time on the sidelines.

Cuttin' Edge 33/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Cheltenham Festival 2024 - Day One

Image
13:30 Supreme Novices' Hurdle We have become accustomed to seeing a short-priced Willie Mullins-trained runner in the curtain raiser in recent times. Still, the market is much more open this year as a result of Ballyburn switching to the Ballymore instead (can't keep up with the changes of sponsors for that race). That being said, two of Mullins' runners are battling for favoritism as I write this.  Tullyhill  is a frustrating one for me, I have a useless ante-post slip for the Ballymore, but he has progressed well with each run this season and runs much better over this 2-mile trip than when tried at longer trips previously. I would still have major concerns regarding his jumping when he faces this better-class opposition, though. He got a freebie on the front end last time out and would be hugely surprised if the others allow him a soft lead in this, I'm not sure his jumping will hold up if he is taken out of his comfort zone. His engine may be good enough to get away...
Read more

Cheltenham Festival 2024 - Day Two

Image
  14:50 - Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle Sa Majeste  has been all the rage in this in the build up to the festival and it's easy to see why punters would latch on to him,  a completely unexposed hurdler having had just two starts for Willie Mullins. The first of those starts he disappointed at 13/8 in April 2023, but last time out he was impressive when beating Noble Yeats over 2m4f at Christmas. However, that wouldn't be the grand national winner's optimum trip and I'm wary of backing Sa Majeste on the basis of that run alone. I really fancied Doddiethegreat  to run a huge race in this when I first looked but the form of the Henderson stable is certainly tempering my enthusiasm, with 5 of his 6 runners being pulled up on day one. That being said, everything is price related and he drifts enough (would want 12/1+) then I will end up backing him. There is certainly no worries regarding Henry De Bromhead's stable form and BALLYADAM  looks to be a solid option with almo...
Read more

Cheltenhan Festival 2024 - Day Three

Image
  14:10 - Pertemps Handicap Hurdle GABBY'S CROSS   has caught the eye the last twice, running on well late after trouble in running to finish 2nd and he has clearly been held back to protect his mark for this. His Irish mark is 127 and although the UK handicapper has given him 133 here, that still looks like a very favorable mark based on his chase form (rated 143 at the start of the season). He is proven on all types of ground and Darragh O'Keeffe rides well around Cheltenham finishing in the first 4 in 35% of his rides here and +£13 to £1 level stakes. GABBYS CROSS 11/1 - 1 Point Each-Way 14:50 - Ryanair Chase I think there is an outstanding bet in here at the time of writing, not an imaginative selection but you can get 9/2 with 4 places each way on ENOVOI ALLEN  and I think that has to be taken. He won this last year and ran to the same RPR when 2nd to Gerri Colombe over a 3-mile trip where he was just outstayed. Back down to 2m4f at Cheltenham where he is 3-5, I fin...
Read more