Thursday 27th June 2019




It's been a quiet time betting-wise with the only selection being Kinglami earlier in the week who got us some place money at 16/1, annoyingly with a smoother passage we might have picked up a few more quid from that bet.


16:25 Newmarket

 Land Of Legends is the obvious starting point in this race, the bottom weight has only run three times in his career with the most recent of those being a comfortable success in a Kempton novice event earlier this month. The second placed horse from that race has franked the form since and there is a very good chance that this unexposed Godolphin colt may prove well treated off an opening mark of 91.

Having said all that, if you've read this blog before you know I won't be tipping a 13/8 poke in a race of this nature. I will again try and make the most of the each-way market, particularly with a few firms offering extra places again on this race.

A record of 1 win in 19 starts isn't spectacular by any stretch of the imagination, but from an each-way perspective Ultimate Avenue makes some appeal here at 14/1. The Excelebration gelding has been running well in defeat this year and is starting to look well treated off a mark of 87. On his penultimate start he ran a decent race despite not getting the clearest of runs and finished a never nearer third. More recently he did very well to finish second after getting outpaced early on, over what is probably an inadequate trip of 6f. Back up to 7f today and returning to the July course where he achieved his two highest RPR's of his career, one of which was this time last year where he finished a very respectable fourth off a mark of 98, 11lb lower today he could go under the radar today.

Another positive for the selection is his trainer's current form, operating at a 22% strike rate in the last fortnight, David Simcock's horses are clearly thriving at present.

Ultimate Avenue 14/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Cheltenham Festival 2024 - Day One

Image
13:30 Supreme Novices' Hurdle We have become accustomed to seeing a short-priced Willie Mullins-trained runner in the curtain raiser in recent times. Still, the market is much more open this year as a result of Ballyburn switching to the Ballymore instead (can't keep up with the changes of sponsors for that race). That being said, two of Mullins' runners are battling for favoritism as I write this.  Tullyhill  is a frustrating one for me, I have a useless ante-post slip for the Ballymore, but he has progressed well with each run this season and runs much better over this 2-mile trip than when tried at longer trips previously. I would still have major concerns regarding his jumping when he faces this better-class opposition, though. He got a freebie on the front end last time out and would be hugely surprised if the others allow him a soft lead in this, I'm not sure his jumping will hold up if he is taken out of his comfort zone. His engine may be good enough to get away...
Read more

Cheltenham Festival 2024 - Day Two

Image
  14:50 - Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle Sa Majeste  has been all the rage in this in the build up to the festival and it's easy to see why punters would latch on to him,  a completely unexposed hurdler having had just two starts for Willie Mullins. The first of those starts he disappointed at 13/8 in April 2023, but last time out he was impressive when beating Noble Yeats over 2m4f at Christmas. However, that wouldn't be the grand national winner's optimum trip and I'm wary of backing Sa Majeste on the basis of that run alone. I really fancied Doddiethegreat  to run a huge race in this when I first looked but the form of the Henderson stable is certainly tempering my enthusiasm, with 5 of his 6 runners being pulled up on day one. That being said, everything is price related and he drifts enough (would want 12/1+) then I will end up backing him. There is certainly no worries regarding Henry De Bromhead's stable form and BALLYADAM  looks to be a solid option with almo...
Read more

Cheltenhan Festival 2024 - Day Three

Image
  14:10 - Pertemps Handicap Hurdle GABBY'S CROSS   has caught the eye the last twice, running on well late after trouble in running to finish 2nd and he has clearly been held back to protect his mark for this. His Irish mark is 127 and although the UK handicapper has given him 133 here, that still looks like a very favorable mark based on his chase form (rated 143 at the start of the season). He is proven on all types of ground and Darragh O'Keeffe rides well around Cheltenham finishing in the first 4 in 35% of his rides here and +£13 to £1 level stakes. GABBYS CROSS 11/1 - 1 Point Each-Way 14:50 - Ryanair Chase I think there is an outstanding bet in here at the time of writing, not an imaginative selection but you can get 9/2 with 4 places each way on ENOVOI ALLEN  and I think that has to be taken. He won this last year and ran to the same RPR when 2nd to Gerri Colombe over a 3-mile trip where he was just outstayed. Back down to 2m4f at Cheltenham where he is 3-5, I fin...
Read more