Saturday 21st September 2019



I have a couple of bets in the big race up at Ayr today and one from Newbury, small stakes again but a couple of nice prices in there. Good luck if you choose to follow.

14:55 Newbury

 Not my typical betting medium here but I like the Andrew Balding trained filly here in the shape of Shadn. She has been progressing nicely and although she is slightly more exposed than her rivals, I think she may put that extra experience and her fillies allowance to good use here and beat the boys.

The daughter of No Nay Never was unlucky not to finish closer when third to Boomer in the Vintage Stakes last time out, she was a little keen in the early stages and had to switch a couple of times at the business end of the race but finished her race well. The winner has since gone close in the May Hill Stakes on her next start, Dark Lady who finished second has won a Group 3 since and the fourth placed filly went very close in a valuable Nursery at Doncaster on her next start.

The drop to six furlongs here shouldn't be a problem for Andrew Balding's filly as she won a listed contest over course and distance on her penultimate start beating a decent yardstick in Misty Grey so the 7/1 currently available looks to be underestimating her chance here.

Shadn 7/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way


15:50 Ayr

 You can only have a certain amount of confidence when having a bet in a 25 runner sprint handicap, but I'll be having two darts at this years Ayr Gold Cup.

The first of the David O'Meara trained pair I like the look of is Intisaab who looks primed for a big run over a course and distance which he has won 2 of his 3 starts. He is now 7lb below his highest winning mark and has the very useful Angus Villiers claiming 7lb off his back. He has been running better than his finishing positions suggest in recent starts, race wasn't run to suit last time out and he was drawn very wide at Chelmsford the time before.

Although Gulliver is nearer the top of the market I think he deserves his place there. He ran a stormer in Ireland behind the favourite Buffer Zone, meeting all sorts of traffic problems before staying on well to be beaten 1 3/4 lengths. He is able to race off the same mark of 97 today which puts him 4lb better off with the winner, and leaves him well treated based on his previous wins off marks as high as 101. The worry would be that he has not been the most consistent horse previously so I will still only be having a small each-way bet here.

This pair are drawn 7 and 9 respectively which is where I'd want to be given most of the pace looks to be drawn low to middle, with numerous firms paying 7 places it's worth shopping around to get the best terms you can.

Intisaab 14/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way

Gulliver 7/1 - 0.5 Points Each-Way


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