Thursday 10th October 2019




Dissapointing to have a blank day to start the month yesterday but it's long term profit we are after and hopefully today's selection can be a step towards that.

19:00 Kempton

 It doesn't take a genius to point out Kasbaan's strong claims of completing a hat-trick in this optional claiming handicap, he won with a fair bit in hand last time but this a stronger contest and he has been raised 8lb for that win last time. As is usually the case, I'll be looking for a value each-way play against the favourite and I think I have found that in the shape of George William for Ed Walker.

The Paco Bay gelding appeals as very well handicapped at present and has shaped well enough in his first three starts for this yard to suggest he may be able to capitalise on his falling mark soon. He finished second in the Victoria Cup at Ascot last year off a mark of 95 and went on to be placed in listed company before landing a decent conditions race at Salisbury, which saw his rating peak at 108.

He showed he still retains plenty of the ability which saw him hit that rating when running a huge race on debut for Ed Walker on the July course, despite not being fancied in the market and arriving off the back of a 432 day absence he belied odds of 40/1 to finish a close 5th. He disappointed on soft ground at Newbury last time when he was sent off favourite but he is unbeaten on the All-Weather so a return to this surface could see him run well off a mark of 92 today.

With firms offering 4 places each-way be sure to shop around for the best terms you can find.

George William 12/1 - 1 Point Each-Way

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